Observatory · observe first

Restaurants

Restaurants is gaining market weight. Lost weight for 2 consecutive months.

Historical time machine
Historical observation
20182026
Reversing downwardConcentrated

Most of this industry's gains came from a few companies.

Universe weight
1.06%
$0.47T
12-month change
+0.39 pp
6-month change
-0.02 pp
3-month change
-0.08 pp
Company participation
50%
above their 6M weight average

Where did the weight change come from?

12-month contribution in universe percentage points · contributions add to the industry change

Sub-industries
Company attribution
All other companies+0.234 pp
Industry total+0.386 pp

The three largest same-direction contributors explain 89% of gross gains. Opposing contributions can make an individual company’s change larger than the industry’s net change.

How has it moved through history?

Share of matched S&P 500 members

Jun 2020 – May 2025 · market weight (%)

0.10.71.420212022202320242025

Relative performance

Industry return versus ACWI · no future data shown

10412514620212022202320242025

Is participation broad or concentrated?

Actual constituent counts at this date, not the legacy synthetic breadth proxy

Above their 3M universe-weight average0%
Above their 6M universe-weight average50%
Above their 12M universe-weight average67%
Top 5 share of current industry market cap96.5%

This is size concentration, not contribution to the 12-month change. The attribution above measures the latter.

Evidence can disagree

Independent dimensions · no combined score or bullish/bearish verdict

Allocation · 12M+0.39 pp
Relative strength · 12M-0.3%
Price index return · 12M+12.9%
Earnings revisions · unavailable0.0
Allocation gained weight while relative performance fell. At least half of constituents are above their 6M weight average. These observations need not agree.
Other evidence and availability

Valuation data: unavailable; shown as zero placeholder.

Attention data: unavailable; shown as zero placeholder.

Actual fund flows: unavailable. No ETF, mutual-fund or institutional flow feed is connected.

Volume / turnover: unavailable in this dataset.

Follow the contribution to individual companies

Sorted by absolute 12-month weight contribution, not investment merit

CompanySub-industryCountryUniverse weight12M contribution12M price returnRevisions
McDonald's →
MCD
RestaurantsUnited States0.508%+0.152 pp+24.2%0.0
Chipotle Mexican Grill →
CMG
RestaurantsUnited States0.153%+0.150 pp-20.0%0.0
Starbucks →
SBUX
RestaurantsUnited States0.216%+0.042 pp+7.3%0.0
Darden Restaurants →
DRI
RestaurantsUnited States0.057%+0.022 pp+47.3%0.0
Yum! Brands →
YUM
RestaurantsUnited States0.091%+0.017 pp+6.8%0.0
Domino's →
DPZ
RestaurantsUnited States0.037%+0.003 pp-5.5%0.0
Underlying monthly industry observations
MonthWeight1M change3M change6M change12M changeRelative return · 12M
May 20251.062%-0.066 pp-0.076 pp-0.015 pp+0.386 pp-0.3%
Apr 20251.128%-0.028 pp+0.053 pp+0.032 pp+0.040 pp-4.8%
Mar 20251.155%+0.017 pp+0.096 pp+0.035 pp+0.088 pp+0.2%
Feb 20251.138%+0.063 pp+0.061 pp+0.021 pp+0.007 pp-5.0%
Jan 20251.075%+0.016 pp-0.021 pp+0.316 pp-0.083 pp-12.4%
Dec 20241.060%-0.017 pp-0.061 pp+0.409 pp-0.122 pp-14.2%
Nov 20241.077%-0.019 pp-0.040 pp+0.401 pp-0.127 pp-14.9%
Oct 20241.096%-0.025 pp+0.336 pp+0.008 pp-0.131 pp-16.3%
Sep 20241.121%+0.004 pp+0.470 pp+0.053 pp-0.092 pp-13.7%
Aug 20241.117%+0.357 pp+0.441 pp-0.015 pp-0.114 pp-17.1%
Jul 20240.760%+0.109 pp-0.328 pp-0.399 pp-0.122 pp-23.2%
Jun 20240.650%-0.025 pp-0.417 pp-0.531 pp-0.283 pp-25.4%
May 20240.676%-0.412 pp-0.456 pp-0.528 pp-0.279 pp-23.5%
Apr 20241.088%+0.020 pp-0.070 pp-0.139 pp-0.323 pp-20.5%
Mar 20241.067%-0.064 pp-0.114 pp-0.145 pp-0.272 pp-17.7%
Feb 20241.132%-0.027 pp-0.073 pp-0.099 pp-0.185 pp-11.5%
Jan 20241.158%-0.023 pp-0.069 pp+0.277 pp-0.174 pp-9.3%
Dec 20231.182%-0.023 pp-0.031 pp+0.248 pp-0.164 pp-10.3%
Nov 20231.204%-0.023 pp-0.027 pp+0.249 pp-0.106 pp-7.2%
Oct 20231.227%+0.015 pp+0.346 pp-0.184 pp-0.063 pp-7.6%
Sep 20231.212%-0.018 pp+0.279 pp-0.127 pp-0.062 pp-4.5%
Aug 20231.231%+0.349 pp+0.276 pp-0.086 pp+0.002 pp+1.4%
Jul 20230.882%-0.052 pp-0.529 pp-0.451 pp-0.346 pp+3.8%
Jun 20230.933%-0.022 pp-0.407 pp-0.412 pp-0.353 pp+8.0%
May 20230.955%-0.456 pp-0.362 pp-0.355 pp-0.269 pp+16.0%
Apr 20231.411%+0.071 pp+0.079 pp+0.120 pp+0.205 pp+26.3%
Mar 20231.340%+0.023 pp-0.006 pp+0.065 pp+0.144 pp+23.5%
Feb 20231.317%-0.015 pp+0.007 pp+0.088 pp+0.075 pp+18.5%
Jan 20231.332%-0.013 pp+0.042 pp+0.104 pp+0.050 pp+16.4%
Dec 20221.346%+0.036 pp+0.071 pp+0.060 pp+0.002 pp+14.2%
Nov 20221.310%+0.019 pp+0.081 pp+0.086 pp+0.008 pp+18.2%
Oct 20221.291%+0.016 pp+0.063 pp+0.085 pp+0.012 pp+24.0%
Sep 20221.274%+0.046 pp-0.012 pp+0.079 pp-0.076 pp+11.1%
Aug 20221.229%+0.001 pp+0.005 pp-0.014 pp-0.090 pp+8.5%
Jul 20221.228%-0.058 pp+0.022 pp-0.054 pp-0.154 pp+3.1%
Jun 20221.286%+0.062 pp+0.090 pp-0.057 pp-0.043 pp+8.8%
May 20221.224%+0.018 pp-0.018 pp-0.078 pp-0.139 pp+0.1%
Apr 20221.206%+0.010 pp-0.076 pp-0.073 pp-0.183 pp-3.7%
Mar 20221.196%-0.046 pp-0.147 pp-0.155 pp+0.488 pp-4.6%
Feb 20221.242%-0.040 pp-0.059 pp-0.077 pp+0.555 pp+0.2%
Jan 20221.282%-0.061 pp+0.003 pp-0.100 pp+0.491 pp+4.4%
Dec 20211.343%+0.041 pp-0.007 pp+0.014 pp-0.072 pp+3.6%
Nov 20211.302%+0.023 pp-0.017 pp-0.061 pp-0.139 pp-2.6%
Oct 20211.279%-0.072 pp-0.103 pp-0.110 pp-0.216 pp-9.5%
Sep 20211.351%+0.032 pp+0.022 pp+0.643 pp+1.349 pp-4.0%
Aug 20211.319%-0.063 pp-0.044 pp+0.631 pp+1.317 pp-0.6%
Jul 20211.382%+0.053 pp-0.007 pp+0.591 pp+1.380 pp+7.3%
Jun 20211.329%-0.034 pp+0.622 pp-0.086 pp+1.328 pp+0.2%
May 20211.363%-0.026 pp+0.676 pp-0.077 pp+1.362 pp-3.3%
Apr 20211.389%+0.681 pp+0.598 pp-0.106 pp-0.093 pp-5.1%
Mar 20210.707%+0.020 pp-0.707 pp+0.706 pp+0.706 pp-1.0%
Feb 20210.688%-0.103 pp-0.753 pp+0.686 pp+0.687 pp-7.6%
Jan 20210.791%-0.624 pp-0.705 pp+0.789 pp-0.725 pp-11.5%
Dec 20201.415%-0.026 pp+1.413 pp+1.413 pp-0.042 pp-1.6%
Nov 20201.441%-0.055 pp+1.439 pp+1.439 pp-0.034 pp-2.0%
Oct 20201.495%+1.494 pp+1.494 pp+0.013 pp-0.046 pp-0.1%
Sep 20200.002%+0.000 pp+0.000 pp+0.000 pp-1.690 pp-10.0%
Aug 20200.002%+0.000 pp-0.000 pp+0.000 pp-1.804 pp-19.9%
Jul 20200.001%-0.000 pp-1.481 pp-1.515 pp-1.723 pp-18.6%
Jun 20200.001%-0.000 pp+0.000 pp-1.455 pp-1.666 pp-13.8%
How are these descriptive states defined?

Gaining / losing: 12-month weight change above +0.005pp / below −0.005pp. Direction and speed are separate dimensions, not mutually exclusive recommendations.

Accelerating / slowing: compare the most recent 3M change with the preceding 3M change. Accelerating means a positive change speeds up by >0.02pp. Slowing means the magnitude of movement declines by >0.02pp. A falling industry can also slow.

Reversing: the last two 3M changes have opposite signs, outside a ±0.005pp tolerance. Persistence counts consecutive same-direction monthly changes.

Broad / concentrated: company attribution, not a market-cap concentration shortcut. Concentrated means the three largest same-direction contributors account for ≥70% of gross same-direction changes; otherwise broad requires ≥60% of constituents moving with the industry. Other cases are mixed.

Weights use matched S&P 500 members’ market-cap estimates, based on SEC-reported shares available by each month-end and monthly closing prices. Companies without a matched price or share record are omitted, so the denominator is the matched sample rather than every index member. These are not official float-adjusted S&P weights. Flow is not measured.