Observatory · observe first

Tobacco

Tobacco is losing market weight. Gained weight for 1 consecutive month.

Historical time machine
Historical observation
20182026
AcceleratingConcentrated

Most of this industry's losses came from a few companies.

Universe weight
1.35%
$0.23T
12-month change
-0.33 pp
6-month change
+0.61 pp
3-month change
+0.56 pp
Company participation
100%
above their 6M weight average

Where did the weight change come from?

12-month contribution in universe percentage points · contributions add to the industry change

Sub-industries
Company attribution
All other companies-0.148 pp
Industry total-0.328 pp

The three largest same-direction contributors explain 100% of gross losses. Opposing contributions can make an individual company’s change larger than the industry’s net change.

How has it moved through history?

Share of matched S&P 500 members

Jan 2018 – Feb 2019 · market weight (%)

0.71.21.720182019

Relative performance

Industry return versus ACWI · no future data shown

81909920182019

Is participation broad or concentrated?

Actual constituent counts at this date, not the legacy synthetic breadth proxy

Above their 3M universe-weight average100%
Above their 6M universe-weight average100%
Above their 12M universe-weight average100%
Top 5 share of current industry market cap100.0%

This is size concentration, not contribution to the 12-month change. The attribution above measures the latter.

Evidence can disagree

Independent dimensions · no combined score or bullish/bearish verdict

Allocation · 12M-0.33 pp
Relative strength · 12M-11.4%
Price index return · 12M-11.7%
Earnings revisions · unavailable0.0
Allocation lost weight while relative performance fell. At least half of constituents are above their 6M weight average. These observations need not agree.
Other evidence and availability

Valuation data: unavailable; shown as zero placeholder.

Attention data: unavailable; shown as zero placeholder.

Actual fund flows: unavailable. No ETF, mutual-fund or institutional flow feed is connected.

Volume / turnover: unavailable in this dataset.

Follow the contribution to individual companies

Sorted by absolute 12-month weight contribution, not investment merit

CompanySub-industryCountryUniverse weight12M contribution12M price returnRevisions
Philip Morris International →
PM
TobaccoUnited States0.783%-0.180 pp-11.4%0.0
Altria →
MO
TobaccoUnited States0.569%-0.148 pp-12.3%0.0
Underlying monthly industry observations
MonthWeight1M change3M change6M change12M changeRelative return · 12M
Feb 20191.353%+0.654 pp+0.564 pp+0.606 pp-0.328 pp-11.4%
Jan 20190.699%-0.004 pp-0.179 pp-0.729 pp-1.016 pp-19.5%
Dec 20180.703%-0.086 pp-0.063 pp-0.711 pp-1.013 pp-19.3%
Nov 20180.789%-0.089 pp+0.042 pp-0.601 pp-0.926 pp-10.9%
Oct 20180.878%+0.112 pp-0.549 pp-0.558 pp-0.837 pp-1.3%
Sep 20180.766%+0.019 pp-0.647 pp-0.908 pp-0.949 pp-15.4%
Aug 20180.747%-0.681 pp-0.643 pp-0.934 pp-0.969 pp-19.1%
Jul 20181.428%+0.014 pp-0.008 pp-0.288 pp-0.288 pp-13.9%
Jun 20181.414%+0.023 pp-0.260 pp-0.302 pp-0.302 pp-15.7%
May 20181.390%-0.046 pp-0.291 pp-0.325 pp-0.325 pp-18.6%
Apr 20181.436%-0.238 pp-0.280 pp-0.280 pp-0.280 pp-16.6%
Mar 20181.674%-0.007 pp-0.042 pp-0.042 pp-0.042 pp-2.4%
Feb 20181.681%-0.035 pp-0.035 pp-0.035 pp-0.035 pp-2.2%
Jan 20181.716%+0.000 pp+0.000 pp+0.000 pp+0.000 pp+0.0%
How are these descriptive states defined?

Gaining / losing: 12-month weight change above +0.005pp / below −0.005pp. Direction and speed are separate dimensions, not mutually exclusive recommendations.

Accelerating / slowing: compare the most recent 3M change with the preceding 3M change. Accelerating means a positive change speeds up by >0.02pp. Slowing means the magnitude of movement declines by >0.02pp. A falling industry can also slow.

Reversing: the last two 3M changes have opposite signs, outside a ±0.005pp tolerance. Persistence counts consecutive same-direction monthly changes.

Broad / concentrated: company attribution, not a market-cap concentration shortcut. Concentrated means the three largest same-direction contributors account for ≥70% of gross same-direction changes; otherwise broad requires ≥60% of constituents moving with the industry. Other cases are mixed.

Weights use matched S&P 500 members’ market-cap estimates, based on SEC-reported shares available by each month-end and monthly closing prices. Companies without a matched price or share record are omitted, so the denominator is the matched sample rather than every index member. These are not official float-adjusted S&P weights. Flow is not measured.