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Observatory · observe first

Semiconductors

Semiconductors is losing market weight. Lost weight for 4 consecutive months.

Historical time machine
Historical observation
20182026
Reversing downwardConcentrated

Most of this industry's losses came from a few companies.

Universe weight
1.86%
$0.59T
12-month change
-1.36 pp
6-month change
-1.59 pp
3-month change
-1.63 pp
Company participation
20%
above their 6M weight average

Where did the weight change come from?

12-month contribution in universe percentage points · contributions add to the industry change

Company attribution
Intel →-0.590 pp
All other companies-0.767 pp
Industry total-1.357 pp

The three largest same-direction contributors explain 79% of gross losses. Opposing contributions can make an individual company’s change larger than the industry’s net change.

How has it moved through history?

Share of matched S&P 500 members

Jan 2018 – Sep 2018 · market weight (%)

1.92.83.62018

Relative performance

Industry return versus ACWI · no future data shown

1001071132018

Is participation broad or concentrated?

Actual constituent counts at this date, not the legacy synthetic breadth proxy

Above their 3M universe-weight average10%
Above their 6M universe-weight average20%
Above their 12M universe-weight average0%
Top 5 share of current industry market cap88.0%

This is size concentration, not contribution to the 12-month change. The attribution above measures the latter.

Evidence can disagree

Independent dimensions · no combined score or bullish/bearish verdict

Allocation · 12M-1.36 pp
Relative strength · 12M+5.9%
Price index return · 12M+4.4%
Earnings revisions · unavailable0.0
Allocation lost weight while relative performance rose. Fewer than half of constituents are above their 6M weight average. These observations need not agree.
Other evidence and availability

Valuation data: unavailable; shown as zero placeholder.

Attention data: unavailable; shown as zero placeholder.

Actual fund flows: unavailable. No ETF, mutual-fund or institutional flow feed is connected.

Volume / turnover: unavailable in this dataset.

Follow the contribution to individual companies

Sorted by absolute 12-month weight contribution, not investment merit

CompanySub-industryCountryUniverse weight12M contribution12M price returnRevisions
Intel →
INTC
SemiconductorsUnited States0.695%-0.590 pp+0.1%0.0
Texas Instruments →
TXN
SemiconductorsUnited States0.332%-0.284 pp-1.0%0.0
Qualcomm →
QCOM
SemiconductorsUnited States0.337%-0.239 pp+8.5%0.0
Micron Technology →
MU
SemiconductorsUnited States0.167%-0.121 pp+3.5%0.0
Analog Devices →
ADI
SemiconductorsUnited States0.109%-0.084 pp+2.1%0.0
Skyworks Solutions →
SWKS
SemiconductorsUnited States0.052%-0.050 pp-5.7%0.0
Microchip Technology →
MCHP
SemiconductorsUnited States0.030%-0.034 pp-16.1%0.0
Broadcom →
AVGO
SemiconductorsUnited States0.033%+0.033 pp+3.1%0.0
Advanced Micro Devices →
AMD
SemiconductorsUnited States0.096%+0.020 pp+124.8%0.0
Nvidia →
NVDA
SemiconductorsUnited States0.014%-0.008 pp+14.5%0.0
Underlying monthly industry observations
MonthWeight1M change3M change6M change12M changeRelative return · 12M
Sep 20181.864%-0.059 pp-1.631 pp-1.594 pp-1.357 pp+5.9%
Aug 20181.923%-1.464 pp-1.731 pp-1.483 pp-1.298 pp+8.2%
Jul 20183.388%-0.107 pp+0.062 pp+0.166 pp+0.166 pp+5.8%
Jun 20183.495%-0.160 pp+0.036 pp+0.274 pp+0.274 pp+7.4%
May 20183.655%+0.329 pp+0.248 pp+0.433 pp+0.433 pp+13.7%
Apr 20183.326%-0.133 pp+0.104 pp+0.104 pp+0.104 pp+2.1%
Mar 20183.459%+0.052 pp+0.237 pp+0.237 pp+0.237 pp+6.7%
Feb 20183.406%+0.185 pp+0.185 pp+0.185 pp+0.185 pp+6.0%
Jan 20183.221%+0.000 pp+0.000 pp+0.000 pp+0.000 pp+0.0%
How are these descriptive states defined?

Gaining / losing: 12-month weight change above +0.005pp / below −0.005pp. Direction and speed are separate dimensions, not mutually exclusive recommendations.

Accelerating / slowing: compare the most recent 3M change with the preceding 3M change. Accelerating means a positive change speeds up by >0.02pp. Slowing means the magnitude of movement declines by >0.02pp. A falling industry can also slow.

Reversing: the last two 3M changes have opposite signs, outside a ±0.005pp tolerance. Persistence counts consecutive same-direction monthly changes.

Broad / concentrated: company attribution, not a market-cap concentration shortcut. Concentrated means the three largest same-direction contributors account for ≥70% of gross same-direction changes; otherwise broad requires ≥60% of constituents moving with the industry. Other cases are mixed.

Weights use matched S&P 500 members’ market-cap estimates, based on SEC-reported shares available by each month-end and monthly closing prices. Companies without a matched price or share record are omitted, so the denominator is the matched sample rather than every index member. These are not official float-adjusted S&P weights. Flow is not measured.