Observatory · observe first

Where is market allocation moving?

See what is gaining weight, how quickly it is changing, and what is driving the move.

Historical time machine
Historical observation
20182026
S&P 500 matched members · 122 industries · Jul 2019Market-cap weights, not measured fund flows · pp = percentage points
Gaining weight
49
industries · over the last 12 months
Losing weight
53
industries · over the last 12 months
Accelerating
4
positive 3M gains are speeding up
Slowing
44
3M movement is easing, in either direction

What is driving the change?

12-month company attribution · a rising industry does not mean every company is gaining

Follow the hierarchy →
Concentrated

Most of this industry's gains came from a few companies.

Walt Disney Company (The)+1.370 pp
All other companies-0.010 pp
50% of companies above their 6M weight average
See what contributed →
Concentrated

Most of this industry's losses came from a few companies.

Wells Fargo-0.471 pp
All other companies-0.836 pp
57% of companies above their 6M weight average
See what contributed →
Concentrated

Most of this industry's gains came from a few companies.

DuPont+1.083 pp
All other companies-0.163 pp
33% of companies above their 6M weight average
See what contributed →

Industry movements at a glance

Largest absolute allocation changes · descriptive observations, not rankings of investment merit

Watch the historical rotation →
IndustryMarket weight12M changeMovementParticipationWeight history · 24M
Movies & Entertainment
Gained weight for 1 consecutive month
1.44%+1.36 ppAcceleratingConcentrated
Diversified Banks
Gained weight for 1 consecutive month
6.59%-1.31 ppReversing downwardConcentrated
Aerospace & Defense
Lost weight for 1 consecutive month
5.35%-1.14 ppReversing downwardConcentrated
Industrial Conglomerates
Lost weight for 1 consecutive month
2.18%+0.92 ppAcceleratingConcentrated
Biotechnology
Lost weight for 5 consecutive months
2.27%-0.85 ppReversing downwardConcentrated
Systems Software
Gained weight for 2 consecutive months
5.64%+0.82 ppReversing downwardConcentrated
Industrial Gases
Lost weight for 1 consecutive month
0.82%+0.61 ppSlowingConcentrated
Pharmaceuticals
Lost weight for 2 consecutive months
5.25%-0.53 ppReversing downwardConcentrated
Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
Lost weight for 5 consecutive months
0.98%-0.50 ppReversing downwardConcentrated
Transaction & Payment Processing Services
Gained weight for 1 consecutive month
2.09%+0.41 ppSlowingBroad
How are these descriptive states defined?

Gaining / losing: 12-month weight change above +0.005pp / below −0.005pp. Direction and speed are separate dimensions, not mutually exclusive recommendations.

Accelerating / slowing: compare the most recent 3M change with the preceding 3M change. Accelerating means a positive change speeds up by >0.02pp. Slowing means the magnitude of movement declines by >0.02pp. A falling industry can also slow.

Reversing: the last two 3M changes have opposite signs, outside a ±0.005pp tolerance. Persistence counts consecutive same-direction monthly changes.

Broad / concentrated: company attribution, not a market-cap concentration shortcut. Concentrated means the three largest same-direction contributors account for ≥70% of gross same-direction changes; otherwise broad requires ≥60% of constituents moving with the industry. Other cases are mixed.

Weights use matched S&P 500 members with SEC-reported shares and monthly prices. Companies without both data series are omitted; weights are normalised across matched members each month. These are simple market-cap estimates, not official float-adjusted S&P weights or measured investor flows.