Observatory · observe first

Where is market allocation moving?

See what is gaining weight, how quickly it is changing, and what is driving the move.

Historical time machine
Historical observation
20182026
S&P 500 matched members · 122 industries · Jan 2020Market-cap weights, not measured fund flows · pp = percentage points
Gaining weight
113
industries · over the last 12 months
Losing weight
1
industries · over the last 12 months
Accelerating
5
positive 3M gains are speeding up
Slowing
20
3M movement is easing, in either direction

What is driving the change?

12-month company attribution · a rising industry does not mean every company is gaining

Follow the hierarchy →
Concentrated

Most of this industry's gains came from a few companies.

Microsoft+3.745 pp
All other companies+0.117 pp
100% of companies above their 6M weight average
See what contributed →
Concentrated

Most of this industry's losses came from a few companies.

Garmin-45.098 pp
All other companies+0.000 pp
100% of companies above their 6M weight average
See what contributed →
Concentrated

Most of this industry's gains came from a few companies.

Apple Inc.+1.023 pp
All other companies+0.136 pp
50% of companies above their 6M weight average
See what contributed →

Industry movements at a glance

Largest absolute allocation changes · descriptive observations, not rankings of investment merit

Watch the historical rotation →
IndustryMarket weight12M changeMovementParticipationWeight history · 24M
Consumer Electronics
Lost weight for 2 consecutive months
0.09%-45.10 ppLosing steadilyConcentrated
Systems Software
Gained weight for 4 consecutive months
6.56%+3.86 ppAcceleratingConcentrated
Aerospace & Defense
Gained weight for 1 consecutive month
5.63%+2.52 ppReversing upwardConcentrated
Diversified Banks
Lost weight for 1 consecutive month
6.21%+2.29 ppReversing downwardConcentrated
Pharmaceuticals
Lost weight for 1 consecutive month
5.40%+2.03 ppSlowingBroad
Semiconductors
Gained weight for 2 consecutive months
3.36%+1.68 ppGaining steadilyBroad
Transaction & Payment Processing Services
Gained weight for 1 consecutive month
2.63%+1.59 ppAcceleratingBroad
Health Care Equipment
Gained weight for 2 consecutive months
3.38%+1.56 ppReversing upwardBroad
Application Software
Gained weight for 1 consecutive month
3.25%+1.49 ppReversing upwardConcentrated
Movies & Entertainment
Lost weight for 2 consecutive months
1.38%+1.33 ppReversing upwardConcentrated
How are these descriptive states defined?

Gaining / losing: 12-month weight change above +0.005pp / below −0.005pp. Direction and speed are separate dimensions, not mutually exclusive recommendations.

Accelerating / slowing: compare the most recent 3M change with the preceding 3M change. Accelerating means a positive change speeds up by >0.02pp. Slowing means the magnitude of movement declines by >0.02pp. A falling industry can also slow.

Reversing: the last two 3M changes have opposite signs, outside a ±0.005pp tolerance. Persistence counts consecutive same-direction monthly changes.

Broad / concentrated: company attribution, not a market-cap concentration shortcut. Concentrated means the three largest same-direction contributors account for ≥70% of gross same-direction changes; otherwise broad requires ≥60% of constituents moving with the industry. Other cases are mixed.

Weights use matched S&P 500 members with SEC-reported shares and monthly prices. Companies without both data series are omitted; weights are normalised across matched members each month. These are simple market-cap estimates, not official float-adjusted S&P weights or measured investor flows.