Observatory · observe first

Where is market allocation moving?

See what is gaining weight, how quickly it is changing, and what is driving the move.

Historical time machine
Historical observation
20182026
S&P 500 matched members · 122 industries · Aug 2024Market-cap weights, not measured fund flows · pp = percentage points
Gaining weight
31
industries · over the last 12 months
Losing weight
87
industries · over the last 12 months
Accelerating
1
positive 3M gains are speeding up
Slowing
1
3M movement is easing, in either direction

What is driving the change?

12-month company attribution · a rising industry does not mean every company is gaining

Follow the hierarchy →
Concentrated

Most of this industry's gains came from a few companies.

Nvidia+6.686 pp
All other companies-0.174 pp
71% of companies above their 6M weight average
See what contributed →
Concentrated

Most of this industry's losses came from a few companies.

Tesla, Inc.-0.958 pp
All other companies-0.055 pp
67% of companies above their 6M weight average
See what contributed →
Concentrated

Most of this industry's gains came from a few companies.

Walmart+1.035 pp
All other companies+0.070 pp
60% of companies above their 6M weight average
See what contributed →

Industry movements at a glance

Largest absolute allocation changes · descriptive observations, not rankings of investment merit

Watch the historical rotation →
IndustryMarket weight12M changeMovementParticipationWeight history · 24M
Semiconductors
Gained weight for 1 consecutive month
10.11%+6.51 ppReversing upwardConcentrated
Consumer Staples Merchandise Retail
Gained weight for 1 consecutive month
2.71%+1.11 ppAcceleratingConcentrated
Automobile Manufacturers
Gained weight for 3 consecutive months
1.89%-1.01 ppReversing upwardConcentrated
Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals
Gained weight for 3 consecutive months
8.72%-0.94 ppReversing upwardConcentrated
Application Software
Gained weight for 1 consecutive month
3.32%-0.51 ppReversing upwardConcentrated
Pharmaceuticals
Gained weight for 1 consecutive month
4.77%-0.49 ppReversing upwardConcentrated
Asset Management & Custody Banks
Gained weight for 3 consecutive months
0.95%+0.46 ppReversing upwardConcentrated
Passenger Ground Transportation
Gained weight for 1 consecutive month
0.37%+0.37 ppReversing upwardConcentrated
Life Sciences Tools & Services
Gained weight for 2 consecutive months
1.42%-0.35 ppReversing upwardConcentrated
Health Care Equipment
Gained weight for 1 consecutive month
2.61%-0.35 ppReversing upwardBroad
How are these descriptive states defined?

Gaining / losing: 12-month weight change above +0.005pp / below −0.005pp. Direction and speed are separate dimensions, not mutually exclusive recommendations.

Accelerating / slowing: compare the most recent 3M change with the preceding 3M change. Accelerating means a positive change speeds up by >0.02pp. Slowing means the magnitude of movement declines by >0.02pp. A falling industry can also slow.

Reversing: the last two 3M changes have opposite signs, outside a ±0.005pp tolerance. Persistence counts consecutive same-direction monthly changes.

Broad / concentrated: company attribution, not a market-cap concentration shortcut. Concentrated means the three largest same-direction contributors account for ≥70% of gross same-direction changes; otherwise broad requires ≥60% of constituents moving with the industry. Other cases are mixed.

Weights use matched S&P 500 members with SEC-reported shares and monthly prices. Companies without both data series are omitted; weights are normalised across matched members each month. These are simple market-cap estimates, not official float-adjusted S&P weights or measured investor flows.