Observatory · observe first

Where is market allocation moving?

See what is gaining weight, how quickly it is changing, and what is driving the move.

Historical time machine
Historical observation
20182026
S&P 500 matched members · 122 industries · Sep 2024Market-cap weights, not measured fund flows · pp = percentage points
Gaining weight
29
industries · over the last 12 months
Losing weight
81
industries · over the last 12 months
Accelerating
1
positive 3M gains are speeding up
Slowing
0
3M movement is easing, in either direction

Gaining market weight

Largest sector gains · last 12 months

Losing market weight

Largest sector declines · last 12 months

The pace is changing

Latest 3 months versus the previous 3 months

What is driving the change?

12-month company attribution · a rising industry does not mean every company is gaining

Follow the hierarchy →
Concentrated

Most of this industry's gains came from a few companies.

Nvidia+6.576 pp
All other companies+1.425 pp
57% of companies above their 6M weight average
See what contributed →
Concentrated

Most of this industry's losses came from a few companies.

Johnson & Johnson-0.444 pp
All other companies-0.418 pp
86% of companies above their 6M weight average
See what contributed →
Concentrated

Most of this industry's gains came from a few companies.

GoDaddy+0.051 pp
All other companies-0.045 pp
100% of companies above their 6M weight average
See what contributed →

Industry movements at a glance

Largest absolute allocation changes · descriptive observations, not rankings of investment merit

Watch the historical rotation →
IndustryMarket weight12M changeMovementParticipationWeight history · 24M
Semiconductors
Gained weight for 2 consecutive months
11.59%+8.00 ppReversing upwardConcentrated
Consumer Staples Merchandise Retail
Lost weight for 1 consecutive month
2.67%+1.03 ppReversing upwardConcentrated
Pharmaceuticals
Lost weight for 1 consecutive month
4.40%-0.86 ppReversing upwardConcentrated
Automobile Manufacturers
Gained weight for 4 consecutive months
2.15%-0.80 ppReversing upwardConcentrated
Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals
Lost weight for 1 consecutive month
8.55%-0.69 ppReversing upwardConcentrated
Managed Health Care
Lost weight for 1 consecutive month
1.72%-0.51 ppReversing upwardConcentrated
Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
Lost weight for 1 consecutive month
0.74%-0.46 ppReversing upwardConcentrated
Integrated Oil & Gas
Lost weight for 1 consecutive month
0.63%-0.42 ppReversing upwardConcentrated
Biotechnology
Lost weight for 1 consecutive month
2.12%-0.40 ppReversing upwardBroad
Soft Drinks & Non-alcoholic Beverages
Lost weight for 1 consecutive month
1.44%-0.38 ppReversing upwardConcentrated
How are these descriptive states defined?

Gaining / losing: 12-month weight change above +0.005pp / below −0.005pp. Direction and speed are separate dimensions, not mutually exclusive recommendations.

Accelerating / slowing: compare the most recent 3M change with the preceding 3M change. Accelerating means a positive change speeds up by >0.02pp. Slowing means the magnitude of movement declines by >0.02pp. A falling industry can also slow.

Reversing: the last two 3M changes have opposite signs, outside a ±0.005pp tolerance. Persistence counts consecutive same-direction monthly changes.

Broad / concentrated: company attribution, not a market-cap concentration shortcut. Concentrated means the three largest same-direction contributors account for ≥70% of gross same-direction changes; otherwise broad requires ≥60% of constituents moving with the industry. Other cases are mixed.

Weights use matched S&P 500 members with SEC-reported shares and monthly prices. Companies without both data series are omitted; weights are normalised across matched members each month. These are simple market-cap estimates, not official float-adjusted S&P weights or measured investor flows.