Observatory · observe first

Where is market allocation moving?

See what is gaining weight, how quickly it is changing, and what is driving the move.

Historical time machine
Historical observation
20182026
S&P 500 matched members · 122 industries · Dec 2024Market-cap weights, not measured fund flows · pp = percentage points
Gaining weight
23
industries · over the last 12 months
Losing weight
90
industries · over the last 12 months
Accelerating
5
positive 3M gains are speeding up
Slowing
34
3M movement is easing, in either direction

What is driving the change?

12-month company attribution · a rising industry does not mean every company is gaining

Follow the hierarchy →
Concentrated

Most of this industry's gains came from a few companies.

Nvidia+7.093 pp
All other companies+1.080 pp
14% of companies above their 6M weight average
See what contributed →
Concentrated

Most of this industry's losses came from a few companies.

Microsoft-1.228 pp
All other companies+0.034 pp
80% of companies above their 6M weight average
See what contributed →
Concentrated

Most of this industry's gains came from a few companies.

BlackRock+0.360 pp
All other companies+0.472 pp
91% of companies above their 6M weight average
See what contributed →

Industry movements at a glance

Largest absolute allocation changes · descriptive observations, not rankings of investment merit

Watch the historical rotation →
IndustryMarket weight12M changeMovementParticipationWeight history · 24M
Semiconductors
Gained weight for 1 consecutive month
12.18%+8.17 ppSlowingConcentrated
Systems Software
Gained weight for 1 consecutive month
7.54%-1.19 ppReversing downwardConcentrated
Consumer Staples Merchandise Retail
Lost weight for 1 consecutive month
2.78%+1.11 ppSlowingConcentrated
Pharmaceuticals
Lost weight for 4 consecutive months
3.82%-0.88 ppReversing downwardConcentrated
Asset Management & Custody Banks
Gained weight for 7 consecutive months
1.61%+0.83 ppAcceleratingConcentrated
Managed Health Care
Lost weight for 4 consecutive months
1.39%-0.68 ppReversing downwardConcentrated
Biotechnology
Lost weight for 2 consecutive months
1.79%-0.61 ppReversing downwardBroad
Broadline Retail
Gained weight for 5 consecutive months
5.30%+0.55 ppSlowingConcentrated
Automobile Manufacturers
Gained weight for 2 consecutive months
3.16%+0.52 ppAcceleratingConcentrated
Life Sciences Tools & Services
Lost weight for 4 consecutive months
1.15%-0.49 ppReversing downwardConcentrated
How are these descriptive states defined?

Gaining / losing: 12-month weight change above +0.005pp / below −0.005pp. Direction and speed are separate dimensions, not mutually exclusive recommendations.

Accelerating / slowing: compare the most recent 3M change with the preceding 3M change. Accelerating means a positive change speeds up by >0.02pp. Slowing means the magnitude of movement declines by >0.02pp. A falling industry can also slow.

Reversing: the last two 3M changes have opposite signs, outside a ±0.005pp tolerance. Persistence counts consecutive same-direction monthly changes.

Broad / concentrated: company attribution, not a market-cap concentration shortcut. Concentrated means the three largest same-direction contributors account for ≥70% of gross same-direction changes; otherwise broad requires ≥60% of constituents moving with the industry. Other cases are mixed.

Weights use matched S&P 500 members with SEC-reported shares and monthly prices. Companies without both data series are omitted; weights are normalised across matched members each month. These are simple market-cap estimates, not official float-adjusted S&P weights or measured investor flows.