Observatory · observe first

Where is market allocation moving?

See what is gaining weight, how quickly it is changing, and what is driving the move.

Historical time machine
Historical observation
20182026
S&P 500 matched members · 122 industries · Jul 2025Market-cap weights, not measured fund flows · pp = percentage points
Gaining weight
95
industries · over the last 12 months
Losing weight
12
industries · over the last 12 months
Accelerating
7
positive 3M gains are speeding up
Slowing
11
3M movement is easing, in either direction

Gaining market weight

Largest sector gains · last 12 months

Losing market weight

Largest sector declines · last 12 months

The pace is changing

Latest 3 months versus the previous 3 months

What is driving the change?

12-month company attribution · a rising industry does not mean every company is gaining

Follow the hierarchy →
Concentrated

Most of this industry's gains came from a few companies.

Nvidia+8.636 pp
All other companies+2.924 pp
57% of companies above their 6M weight average
See what contributed →
Concentrated

Most of this industry's losses came from a few companies.

Packaging Corporation of America-32.131 pp
All other companies+0.074 pp
0% of companies above their 6M weight average
See what contributed →
Concentrated

Most of this industry's gains came from a few companies.

Microsoft+2.789 pp
All other companies+0.323 pp
33% of companies above their 6M weight average
See what contributed →

Industry movements at a glance

Largest absolute allocation changes · descriptive observations, not rankings of investment merit

Watch the historical rotation →
IndustryMarket weight12M changeMovementParticipationWeight history · 24M
Paper & Plastic Packaging Products & Materials
Lost weight for 5 consecutive months
0.31%-32.06 ppReversing downwardConcentrated
Semiconductors
Gained weight for 4 consecutive months
14.40%+11.56 ppReversing upwardConcentrated
Systems Software
Gained weight for 4 consecutive months
8.95%+3.11 ppAcceleratingConcentrated
Broadline Retail
Gained weight for 3 consecutive months
5.33%+1.79 ppReversing upwardConcentrated
Application Software
Gained weight for 4 consecutive months
3.69%+1.23 ppReversing upwardConcentrated
Diversified Banks
Lost weight for 1 consecutive month
3.82%+1.21 ppReversing upwardConcentrated
Aerospace & Defense
Gained weight for 1 consecutive month
2.59%+0.90 ppSlowingBroad
Consumer Staples Merchandise Retail
Lost weight for 3 consecutive months
2.72%+0.87 ppReversing downwardConcentrated
Asset Management & Custody Banks
Gained weight for 2 consecutive months
1.55%+0.85 ppReversing upwardConcentrated
Automobile Manufacturers
Lost weight for 2 consecutive months
2.29%+0.80 ppSlowingConcentrated
How are these descriptive states defined?

Gaining / losing: 12-month weight change above +0.005pp / below −0.005pp. Direction and speed are separate dimensions, not mutually exclusive recommendations.

Accelerating / slowing: compare the most recent 3M change with the preceding 3M change. Accelerating means a positive change speeds up by >0.02pp. Slowing means the magnitude of movement declines by >0.02pp. A falling industry can also slow.

Reversing: the last two 3M changes have opposite signs, outside a ±0.005pp tolerance. Persistence counts consecutive same-direction monthly changes.

Broad / concentrated: company attribution, not a market-cap concentration shortcut. Concentrated means the three largest same-direction contributors account for ≥70% of gross same-direction changes; otherwise broad requires ≥60% of constituents moving with the industry. Other cases are mixed.

Weights use matched S&P 500 members with SEC-reported shares and monthly prices. Companies without both data series are omitted; weights are normalised across matched members each month. These are simple market-cap estimates, not official float-adjusted S&P weights or measured investor flows.