Observatory · observe first

Homebuilding

Homebuilding is losing market weight. Lost weight for 4 consecutive months.

Historical time machine
Historical observation
20182026
Reversing downwardConcentrated

Most of this industry's losses came from a few companies.

Universe weight
0.08%
$0.02T
12-month change
-0.08 pp
6-month change
-0.06 pp
3-month change
-0.07 pp
Company participation
0%
above their 6M weight average

Where did the weight change come from?

12-month contribution in universe percentage points · contributions add to the industry change

Sub-industries
Company attribution
All other companies-0.028 pp
Industry total-0.079 pp

The three largest same-direction contributors explain 100% of gross losses. Opposing contributions can make an individual company’s change larger than the industry’s net change.

How has it moved through history?

Share of matched S&P 500 members

Jan 2018 – Aug 2018 · market weight (%)

0.10.10.22018

Relative performance

Industry return versus ACWI · no future data shown

91951002018

Is participation broad or concentrated?

Actual constituent counts at this date, not the legacy synthetic breadth proxy

Above their 3M universe-weight average0%
Above their 6M universe-weight average0%
Above their 12M universe-weight average0%
Top 5 share of current industry market cap100.0%

This is size concentration, not contribution to the 12-month change. The attribution above measures the latter.

Evidence can disagree

Independent dimensions · no combined score or bullish/bearish verdict

Allocation · 12M-0.08 pp
Relative strength · 12M-7.6%
Price index return · 12M-9.5%
Earnings revisions · unavailable0.0
Allocation lost weight while relative performance fell. Fewer than half of constituents are above their 6M weight average. These observations need not agree.
Other evidence and availability

Valuation data: unavailable; shown as zero placeholder.

Attention data: unavailable; shown as zero placeholder.

Actual fund flows: unavailable. No ETF, mutual-fund or institutional flow feed is connected.

Volume / turnover: unavailable in this dataset.

Follow the contribution to individual companies

Sorted by absolute 12-month weight contribution, not investment merit

CompanySub-industryCountryUniverse weight12M contribution12M price returnRevisions
D. R. Horton →
DHI
HomebuildingUnited States0.054%-0.051 pp-8.5%0.0
PulteGroup →
PHM
HomebuildingUnited States0.026%-0.028 pp-11.7%0.0
Underlying monthly industry observations
MonthWeight1M change3M change6M change12M changeRelative return · 12M
Aug 20180.080%-0.064 pp-0.069 pp-0.063 pp-0.079 pp-7.6%
Jul 20180.143%-0.000 pp-0.012 pp-0.015 pp-0.015 pp-7.7%
Jun 20180.144%-0.005 pp-0.009 pp-0.015 pp-0.015 pp-8.5%
May 20180.149%-0.007 pp+0.006 pp-0.009 pp-0.009 pp-5.8%
Apr 20180.156%+0.003 pp-0.003 pp-0.003 pp-0.003 pp-2.6%
Mar 20180.153%+0.010 pp-0.005 pp-0.005 pp-0.005 pp-3.6%
Feb 20180.143%-0.016 pp-0.016 pp-0.016 pp-0.016 pp-9.4%
Jan 20180.158%+0.000 pp+0.000 pp+0.000 pp+0.000 pp+0.0%
How are these descriptive states defined?

Gaining / losing: 12-month weight change above +0.005pp / below −0.005pp. Direction and speed are separate dimensions, not mutually exclusive recommendations.

Accelerating / slowing: compare the most recent 3M change with the preceding 3M change. Accelerating means a positive change speeds up by >0.02pp. Slowing means the magnitude of movement declines by >0.02pp. A falling industry can also slow.

Reversing: the last two 3M changes have opposite signs, outside a ±0.005pp tolerance. Persistence counts consecutive same-direction monthly changes.

Broad / concentrated: company attribution, not a market-cap concentration shortcut. Concentrated means the three largest same-direction contributors account for ≥70% of gross same-direction changes; otherwise broad requires ≥60% of constituents moving with the industry. Other cases are mixed.

Weights use matched S&P 500 members’ market-cap estimates, based on SEC-reported shares available by each month-end and monthly closing prices. Companies without a matched price or share record are omitted, so the denominator is the matched sample rather than every index member. These are not official float-adjusted S&P weights. Flow is not measured.