Observatory · observe first

Restaurants

Restaurants is losing market weight. Gained weight for 1 consecutive month.

Historical time machine
Historical observation
20182026
Declining fasterConcentrated

Most of this industry's losses came from a few companies.

Universe weight
0.79%
$0.25T
12-month change
-0.67 pp
6-month change
-0.71 pp
3-month change
-0.60 pp
Company participation
0%
above their 6M weight average

Where did the weight change come from?

12-month contribution in universe percentage points · contributions add to the industry change

Sub-industries
Company attribution
All other companies-0.306 pp
Industry total-0.670 pp

The three largest same-direction contributors explain 96% of gross losses. Opposing contributions can make an individual company’s change larger than the industry’s net change.

How has it moved through history?

Share of matched S&P 500 members

Jan 2018 – Sep 2018 · market weight (%)

0.81.21.52018

Relative performance

Industry return versus ACWI · no future data shown

971011062018

Is participation broad or concentrated?

Actual constituent counts at this date, not the legacy synthetic breadth proxy

Above their 3M universe-weight average0%
Above their 6M universe-weight average0%
Above their 12M universe-weight average0%
Top 5 share of current industry market cap100.0%

This is size concentration, not contribution to the 12-month change. The attribution above measures the latter.

Evidence can disagree

Independent dimensions · no combined score or bullish/bearish verdict

Allocation · 12M-0.67 pp
Relative strength · 12M+3.7%
Price index return · 12M+2.2%
Earnings revisions · unavailable0.0
Allocation lost weight while relative performance rose. Fewer than half of constituents are above their 6M weight average. These observations need not agree.
Other evidence and availability

Valuation data: unavailable; shown as zero placeholder.

Attention data: unavailable; shown as zero placeholder.

Actual fund flows: unavailable. No ETF, mutual-fund or institutional flow feed is connected.

Volume / turnover: unavailable in this dataset.

Follow the contribution to individual companies

Sorted by absolute 12-month weight contribution, not investment merit

CompanySub-industryCountryUniverse weight12M contribution12M price returnRevisions
McDonald's →
MCD
RestaurantsUnited States0.414%-0.365 pp-0.4%0.0
Starbucks →
SBUX
RestaurantsUnited States0.244%-0.211 pp+1.8%0.0
Yum! Brands →
YUM
RestaurantsUnited States0.092%-0.071 pp+8.9%0.0
Darden Restaurants →
DRI
RestaurantsUnited States0.044%-0.024 pp+17.6%0.0
Chipotle Mexican Grill →
CMG
RestaurantsUnited States0.001%-0.000 pp+40.0%0.0
Underlying monthly industry observations
MonthWeight1M change3M change6M change12M changeRelative return · 12M
Sep 20180.794%+0.019 pp-0.596 pp-0.707 pp-0.670 pp+3.7%
Aug 20180.775%-0.587 pp-0.688 pp-0.688 pp-0.690 pp+0.5%
Jul 20181.362%-0.029 pp-0.203 pp-0.103 pp-0.103 pp-3.0%
Jun 20181.391%-0.073 pp-0.110 pp-0.074 pp-0.074 pp-2.6%
May 20181.463%-0.101 pp-0.000 pp-0.001 pp-0.001 pp+1.6%
Apr 20181.565%+0.064 pp+0.100 pp+0.100 pp+0.100 pp+5.9%
Mar 20181.501%+0.037 pp+0.036 pp+0.036 pp+0.036 pp+2.1%
Feb 20181.463%-0.001 pp-0.001 pp-0.001 pp-0.001 pp+0.4%
Jan 20181.465%+0.000 pp+0.000 pp+0.000 pp+0.000 pp+0.0%
How are these descriptive states defined?

Gaining / losing: 12-month weight change above +0.005pp / below −0.005pp. Direction and speed are separate dimensions, not mutually exclusive recommendations.

Accelerating / slowing: compare the most recent 3M change with the preceding 3M change. Accelerating means a positive change speeds up by >0.02pp. Slowing means the magnitude of movement declines by >0.02pp. A falling industry can also slow.

Reversing: the last two 3M changes have opposite signs, outside a ±0.005pp tolerance. Persistence counts consecutive same-direction monthly changes.

Broad / concentrated: company attribution, not a market-cap concentration shortcut. Concentrated means the three largest same-direction contributors account for ≥70% of gross same-direction changes; otherwise broad requires ≥60% of constituents moving with the industry. Other cases are mixed.

Weights use matched S&P 500 members’ market-cap estimates, based on SEC-reported shares available by each month-end and monthly closing prices. Companies without a matched price or share record are omitted, so the denominator is the matched sample rather than every index member. These are not official float-adjusted S&P weights. Flow is not measured.