Observatory · observe first

Restaurants

Restaurants is gaining market weight. Lost weight for 1 consecutive month.

Historical time machine
Historical observation
20182026
SlowingConcentrated

Most of this industry's gains came from a few companies.

Universe weight
1.67%
$0.31T
12-month change
+0.28 pp
6-month change
+0.74 pp
3-month change
+0.04 pp
Company participation
100%
above their 6M weight average

Where did the weight change come from?

12-month contribution in universe percentage points · contributions add to the industry change

Sub-industries
Company attribution
Starbucks →+0.138 pp
All other companies+0.139 pp
Industry total+0.277 pp

The three largest same-direction contributors explain 100% of gross gains. Opposing contributions can make an individual company’s change larger than the industry’s net change.

How has it moved through history?

Share of matched S&P 500 members

Jan 2018 – Jun 2019 · market weight (%)

0.81.21.720182019

Relative performance

Industry return versus ACWI · no future data shown

9811613420182019

Is participation broad or concentrated?

Actual constituent counts at this date, not the legacy synthetic breadth proxy

Above their 3M universe-weight average60%
Above their 6M universe-weight average100%
Above their 12M universe-weight average100%
Top 5 share of current industry market cap100.0%

This is size concentration, not contribution to the 12-month change. The attribution above measures the latter.

Evidence can disagree

Independent dimensions · no combined score or bullish/bearish verdict

Allocation · 12M+0.28 pp
Relative strength · 12M+38.6%
Price index return · 12M+46.9%
Earnings revisions · unavailable0.0
Allocation gained weight while relative performance rose. At least half of constituents are above their 6M weight average. These observations need not agree.
Other evidence and availability

Valuation data: unavailable; shown as zero placeholder.

Attention data: unavailable; shown as zero placeholder.

Actual fund flows: unavailable. No ETF, mutual-fund or institutional flow feed is connected.

Volume / turnover: unavailable in this dataset.

Follow the contribution to individual companies

Sorted by absolute 12-month weight contribution, not investment merit

CompanySub-industryCountryUniverse weight12M contribution12M price returnRevisions
Starbucks →
SBUX
RestaurantsUnited States0.547%+0.138 pp+75.4%0.0
McDonald's →
MCD
RestaurantsUnited States0.855%+0.108 pp+35.8%0.0
Yum! Brands →
YUM
RestaurantsUnited States0.183%+0.029 pp+43.9%0.0
Chipotle Mexican Grill →
CMG
RestaurantsUnited States0.002%+0.001 pp+69.9%0.0
Darden Restaurants →
DRI
RestaurantsUnited States0.081%+0.000 pp+16.8%0.0
Underlying monthly industry observations
MonthWeight1M change3M change6M change12M changeRelative return · 12M
Jun 20191.668%-0.018 pp+0.037 pp+0.745 pp+0.277 pp+38.6%
May 20191.686%+0.058 pp+0.114 pp+0.786 pp+0.223 pp+32.5%
Apr 20191.628%-0.003 pp+0.753 pp+0.753 pp+0.063 pp+19.7%
Mar 20191.630%+0.058 pp+0.707 pp+0.836 pp+0.129 pp+23.6%
Feb 20191.572%+0.697 pp+0.672 pp+0.797 pp+0.109 pp+22.0%
Jan 20190.875%-0.048 pp-0.000 pp-0.487 pp-0.590 pp+21.4%
Dec 20180.923%+0.023 pp+0.128 pp-0.468 pp-0.542 pp+27.7%
Nov 20180.900%+0.025 pp+0.125 pp-0.563 pp-0.565 pp+24.4%
Oct 20180.875%+0.080 pp-0.487 pp-0.690 pp-0.590 pp+16.0%
Sep 20180.794%+0.019 pp-0.596 pp-0.707 pp-0.670 pp+3.7%
Aug 20180.775%-0.587 pp-0.688 pp-0.688 pp-0.690 pp+0.5%
Jul 20181.362%-0.029 pp-0.203 pp-0.103 pp-0.103 pp-3.0%
Jun 20181.391%-0.073 pp-0.110 pp-0.074 pp-0.074 pp-2.6%
May 20181.463%-0.101 pp-0.000 pp-0.001 pp-0.001 pp+1.6%
Apr 20181.565%+0.064 pp+0.100 pp+0.100 pp+0.100 pp+5.9%
Mar 20181.501%+0.037 pp+0.036 pp+0.036 pp+0.036 pp+2.1%
Feb 20181.463%-0.001 pp-0.001 pp-0.001 pp-0.001 pp+0.4%
Jan 20181.465%+0.000 pp+0.000 pp+0.000 pp+0.000 pp+0.0%
How are these descriptive states defined?

Gaining / losing: 12-month weight change above +0.005pp / below −0.005pp. Direction and speed are separate dimensions, not mutually exclusive recommendations.

Accelerating / slowing: compare the most recent 3M change with the preceding 3M change. Accelerating means a positive change speeds up by >0.02pp. Slowing means the magnitude of movement declines by >0.02pp. A falling industry can also slow.

Reversing: the last two 3M changes have opposite signs, outside a ±0.005pp tolerance. Persistence counts consecutive same-direction monthly changes.

Broad / concentrated: company attribution, not a market-cap concentration shortcut. Concentrated means the three largest same-direction contributors account for ≥70% of gross same-direction changes; otherwise broad requires ≥60% of constituents moving with the industry. Other cases are mixed.

Weights use matched S&P 500 members’ market-cap estimates, based on SEC-reported shares available by each month-end and monthly closing prices. Companies without a matched price or share record are omitted, so the denominator is the matched sample rather than every index member. These are not official float-adjusted S&P weights. Flow is not measured.