Observatory · observe first

Tobacco

Tobacco is losing market weight. Lost weight for 1 consecutive month.

Historical time machine
Historical observation
20182026
Losing steadilyConcentrated

Most of this industry's losses came from a few companies.

Universe weight
0.00%
$0.19T
12-month change
-1.03 pp
6-month change
-0.00 pp
3-month change
-0.00 pp
Company participation
0%
above their 6M weight average

Where did the weight change come from?

12-month contribution in universe percentage points · contributions add to the industry change

Sub-industries
Company attribution
All other companies-0.405 pp
Industry total-1.032 pp

The three largest same-direction contributors explain 100% of gross losses. Opposing contributions can make an individual company’s change larger than the industry’s net change.

How has it moved through history?

Share of matched S&P 500 members

Jan 2018 – Sep 2020 · market weight (%)

0.10.91.7201820192020

Relative performance

Industry return versus ACWI · no future data shown

698499201820192020

Is participation broad or concentrated?

Actual constituent counts at this date, not the legacy synthetic breadth proxy

Above their 3M universe-weight average0%
Above their 6M universe-weight average0%
Above their 12M universe-weight average0%
Top 5 share of current industry market cap100.0%

This is size concentration, not contribution to the 12-month change. The attribution above measures the latter.

Evidence can disagree

Independent dimensions · no combined score or bullish/bearish verdict

Allocation · 12M-1.03 pp
Relative strength · 12M-5.7%
Price index return · 12M+4.3%
Earnings revisions · unavailable0.0
Allocation lost weight while relative performance fell. Fewer than half of constituents are above their 6M weight average. These observations need not agree.
Other evidence and availability

Valuation data: unavailable; shown as zero placeholder.

Attention data: unavailable; shown as zero placeholder.

Actual fund flows: unavailable. No ETF, mutual-fund or institutional flow feed is connected.

Volume / turnover: unavailable in this dataset.

Follow the contribution to individual companies

Sorted by absolute 12-month weight contribution, not investment merit

CompanySub-industryCountryUniverse weight12M contribution12M price returnRevisions
Philip Morris International →
PM
TobaccoUnited States0.001%-0.627 pp+5.2%0.0
Altria →
MO
TobaccoUnited States0.000%-0.405 pp+2.9%0.0
Underlying monthly industry observations
MonthWeight1M change3M change6M change12M changeRelative return · 12M
Sep 20200.001%-0.000 pp-0.000 pp-0.000 pp-1.032 pp-5.7%
Aug 20200.001%+0.000 pp-0.000 pp+0.000 pp-1.053 pp-2.1%
Jul 20200.001%-0.000 pp-1.057 pp-1.072 pp-1.159 pp-10.0%
Jun 20200.001%-0.000 pp+0.000 pp-1.106 pp-1.135 pp-8.9%
May 20200.001%-1.057 pp+0.000 pp-1.117 pp-1.232 pp-10.3%
Apr 20201.058%+1.057 pp-0.014 pp-0.038 pp-0.258 pp-9.0%
Mar 20200.001%+0.000 pp-1.106 pp-1.032 pp-1.407 pp-8.5%
Feb 20200.001%-1.072 pp-1.117 pp-1.054 pp-1.352 pp-11.4%
Jan 20201.073%-0.034 pp-0.024 pp-0.087 pp+0.374 pp-5.4%
Dec 20191.107%-0.011 pp+0.074 pp-0.029 pp+0.404 pp-3.5%
Nov 20191.118%+0.021 pp+0.063 pp-0.116 pp+0.329 pp-12.3%
Oct 20191.097%+0.063 pp-0.064 pp-0.220 pp+0.218 pp-23.2%
Sep 20191.033%-0.021 pp-0.103 pp-0.374 pp+0.267 pp-15.0%
Aug 20191.054%-0.106 pp-0.179 pp-0.298 pp+0.307 pp-10.9%
Jul 20191.160%+0.024 pp-0.157 pp+0.461 pp-0.268 pp-8.0%
Jun 20191.136%-0.097 pp-0.272 pp+0.433 pp-0.277 pp-9.1%
May 20191.233%-0.083 pp-0.119 pp+0.444 pp-0.157 pp-0.8%
Apr 20191.317%-0.091 pp+0.618 pp+0.438 pp-0.119 pp+1.5%
Mar 20191.408%+0.055 pp+0.705 pp+0.642 pp-0.266 pp-7.0%
Feb 20191.353%+0.654 pp+0.564 pp+0.606 pp-0.328 pp-11.4%
Jan 20190.699%-0.004 pp-0.179 pp-0.729 pp-1.016 pp-19.5%
Dec 20180.703%-0.086 pp-0.063 pp-0.711 pp-1.013 pp-19.3%
Nov 20180.789%-0.089 pp+0.042 pp-0.601 pp-0.926 pp-10.9%
Oct 20180.878%+0.112 pp-0.549 pp-0.558 pp-0.837 pp-1.3%
Sep 20180.766%+0.019 pp-0.647 pp-0.908 pp-0.949 pp-15.4%
Aug 20180.747%-0.681 pp-0.643 pp-0.934 pp-0.969 pp-19.1%
Jul 20181.428%+0.014 pp-0.008 pp-0.288 pp-0.288 pp-13.9%
Jun 20181.414%+0.023 pp-0.260 pp-0.302 pp-0.302 pp-15.7%
May 20181.390%-0.046 pp-0.291 pp-0.325 pp-0.325 pp-18.6%
Apr 20181.436%-0.238 pp-0.280 pp-0.280 pp-0.280 pp-16.6%
Mar 20181.674%-0.007 pp-0.042 pp-0.042 pp-0.042 pp-2.4%
Feb 20181.681%-0.035 pp-0.035 pp-0.035 pp-0.035 pp-2.2%
Jan 20181.716%+0.000 pp+0.000 pp+0.000 pp+0.000 pp+0.0%
How are these descriptive states defined?

Gaining / losing: 12-month weight change above +0.005pp / below −0.005pp. Direction and speed are separate dimensions, not mutually exclusive recommendations.

Accelerating / slowing: compare the most recent 3M change with the preceding 3M change. Accelerating means a positive change speeds up by >0.02pp. Slowing means the magnitude of movement declines by >0.02pp. A falling industry can also slow.

Reversing: the last two 3M changes have opposite signs, outside a ±0.005pp tolerance. Persistence counts consecutive same-direction monthly changes.

Broad / concentrated: company attribution, not a market-cap concentration shortcut. Concentrated means the three largest same-direction contributors account for ≥70% of gross same-direction changes; otherwise broad requires ≥60% of constituents moving with the industry. Other cases are mixed.

Weights use matched S&P 500 members’ market-cap estimates, based on SEC-reported shares available by each month-end and monthly closing prices. Companies without a matched price or share record are omitted, so the denominator is the matched sample rather than every index member. These are not official float-adjusted S&P weights. Flow is not measured.