Observatory · observe first

Tobacco

Tobacco is losing market weight. Gained weight for 1 consecutive month.

Historical time machine
Historical observation
20182026
Reversing downwardConcentrated

Most of this industry's losses came from a few companies.

Universe weight
0.82%
$0.23T
12-month change
-0.03 pp
6-month change
-0.05 pp
3-month change
-0.13 pp
Company participation
0%
above their 6M weight average

Where did the weight change come from?

12-month contribution in universe percentage points · contributions add to the industry change

Sub-industries
Company attribution
Altria →-0.019 pp
All other companies-0.007 pp
Industry total-0.026 pp

The three largest same-direction contributors explain 100% of gross losses. Opposing contributions can make an individual company’s change larger than the industry’s net change.

How has it moved through history?

Share of matched S&P 500 members

Jan 2018 – Aug 2022 · market weight (%)

0.10.91.720182019202020212022

Relative performance

Industry return versus ACWI · no future data shown

64819920182019202020212022

Is participation broad or concentrated?

Actual constituent counts at this date, not the legacy synthetic breadth proxy

Above their 3M universe-weight average50%
Above their 6M universe-weight average0%
Above their 12M universe-weight average50%
Top 5 share of current industry market cap100.0%

This is size concentration, not contribution to the 12-month change. The attribution above measures the latter.

Evidence can disagree

Independent dimensions · no combined score or bullish/bearish verdict

Allocation · 12M-0.03 pp
Relative strength · 12M+15.9%
Price index return · 12M-2.7%
Earnings revisions · unavailable0.0
Allocation lost weight while relative performance rose. Fewer than half of constituents are above their 6M weight average. These observations need not agree.
Other evidence and availability

Valuation data: unavailable; shown as zero placeholder.

Attention data: unavailable; shown as zero placeholder.

Actual fund flows: unavailable. No ETF, mutual-fund or institutional flow feed is connected.

Volume / turnover: unavailable in this dataset.

Follow the contribution to individual companies

Sorted by absolute 12-month weight contribution, not investment merit

CompanySub-industryCountryUniverse weight12M contribution12M price returnRevisions
Altria →
MO
TobaccoUnited States0.291%-0.019 pp-3.3%0.0
Philip Morris International →
PM
TobaccoUnited States0.530%-0.007 pp-2.4%0.0
Underlying monthly industry observations
MonthWeight1M change3M change6M change12M changeRelative return · 12M
Aug 20220.821%+0.032 pp-0.125 pp-0.046 pp-0.026 pp+15.9%
Jul 20220.789%-0.101 pp-0.135 pp-0.064 pp-0.050 pp+12.4%
Jun 20220.890%-0.055 pp+0.081 pp+0.138 pp+0.032 pp+19.7%
May 20220.946%+0.022 pp+0.079 pp+0.229 pp+0.080 pp+25.3%
Apr 20220.924%+0.115 pp+0.071 pp+0.162 pp+0.067 pp+23.3%
Mar 20220.810%-0.057 pp+0.057 pp-0.004 pp+0.353 pp+3.6%
Feb 20220.867%+0.014 pp+0.150 pp+0.020 pp+0.443 pp+17.5%
Jan 20220.853%+0.100 pp+0.091 pp+0.014 pp+0.373 pp+18.7%
Dec 20210.753%+0.036 pp-0.061 pp-0.106 pp-0.078 pp+2.8%
Nov 20210.717%-0.046 pp-0.130 pp-0.149 pp-0.099 pp-1.5%
Oct 20210.762%-0.051 pp-0.076 pp-0.095 pp-0.079 pp+0.1%
Sep 20210.813%-0.033 pp-0.045 pp+0.357 pp+0.812 pp+3.0%
Aug 20210.847%+0.008 pp-0.020 pp+0.423 pp+0.846 pp+2.2%
Jul 20210.839%-0.020 pp-0.018 pp+0.359 pp+0.838 pp-0.2%
Jun 20210.858%-0.008 pp+0.402 pp+0.028 pp+0.857 pp+2.0%
May 20210.866%+0.009 pp+0.443 pp+0.051 pp+0.865 pp-2.4%
Apr 20210.857%+0.401 pp+0.377 pp+0.016 pp-0.201 pp-8.8%
Mar 20210.456%+0.033 pp-0.374 pp+0.455 pp+0.455 pp-13.0%
Feb 20210.423%-0.056 pp-0.392 pp+0.422 pp+0.423 pp-13.5%
Jan 20210.480%-0.350 pp-0.361 pp+0.479 pp-0.593 pp-15.6%
Dec 20200.830%+0.015 pp+0.829 pp+0.829 pp-0.277 pp-15.8%
Nov 20200.815%-0.026 pp+0.814 pp+0.814 pp-0.302 pp-19.0%
Oct 20200.841%+0.840 pp+0.840 pp-0.217 pp-0.255 pp-13.7%
Sep 20200.001%-0.000 pp-0.000 pp-0.000 pp-1.032 pp-5.7%
Aug 20200.001%+0.000 pp-0.000 pp+0.000 pp-1.053 pp-2.1%
Jul 20200.001%-0.000 pp-1.057 pp-1.072 pp-1.159 pp-10.0%
Jun 20200.001%-0.000 pp+0.000 pp-1.106 pp-1.135 pp-8.9%
May 20200.001%-1.057 pp+0.000 pp-1.117 pp-1.232 pp-10.3%
Apr 20201.058%+1.057 pp-0.014 pp-0.038 pp-0.258 pp-9.0%
Mar 20200.001%+0.000 pp-1.106 pp-1.032 pp-1.407 pp-8.5%
Feb 20200.001%-1.072 pp-1.117 pp-1.054 pp-1.352 pp-11.4%
Jan 20201.073%-0.034 pp-0.024 pp-0.087 pp+0.374 pp-5.4%
Dec 20191.107%-0.011 pp+0.074 pp-0.029 pp+0.404 pp-3.5%
Nov 20191.118%+0.021 pp+0.063 pp-0.116 pp+0.329 pp-12.3%
Oct 20191.097%+0.063 pp-0.064 pp-0.220 pp+0.218 pp-23.2%
Sep 20191.033%-0.021 pp-0.103 pp-0.374 pp+0.267 pp-15.0%
Aug 20191.054%-0.106 pp-0.179 pp-0.298 pp+0.307 pp-10.9%
Jul 20191.160%+0.024 pp-0.157 pp+0.461 pp-0.268 pp-8.0%
Jun 20191.136%-0.097 pp-0.272 pp+0.433 pp-0.277 pp-9.1%
May 20191.233%-0.083 pp-0.119 pp+0.444 pp-0.157 pp-0.8%
Apr 20191.317%-0.091 pp+0.618 pp+0.438 pp-0.119 pp+1.5%
Mar 20191.408%+0.055 pp+0.705 pp+0.642 pp-0.266 pp-7.0%
Feb 20191.353%+0.654 pp+0.564 pp+0.606 pp-0.328 pp-11.4%
Jan 20190.699%-0.004 pp-0.179 pp-0.729 pp-1.016 pp-19.5%
Dec 20180.703%-0.086 pp-0.063 pp-0.711 pp-1.013 pp-19.3%
Nov 20180.789%-0.089 pp+0.042 pp-0.601 pp-0.926 pp-10.9%
Oct 20180.878%+0.112 pp-0.549 pp-0.558 pp-0.837 pp-1.3%
Sep 20180.766%+0.019 pp-0.647 pp-0.908 pp-0.949 pp-15.4%
Aug 20180.747%-0.681 pp-0.643 pp-0.934 pp-0.969 pp-19.1%
Jul 20181.428%+0.014 pp-0.008 pp-0.288 pp-0.288 pp-13.9%
Jun 20181.414%+0.023 pp-0.260 pp-0.302 pp-0.302 pp-15.7%
May 20181.390%-0.046 pp-0.291 pp-0.325 pp-0.325 pp-18.6%
Apr 20181.436%-0.238 pp-0.280 pp-0.280 pp-0.280 pp-16.6%
Mar 20181.674%-0.007 pp-0.042 pp-0.042 pp-0.042 pp-2.4%
Feb 20181.681%-0.035 pp-0.035 pp-0.035 pp-0.035 pp-2.2%
Jan 20181.716%+0.000 pp+0.000 pp+0.000 pp+0.000 pp+0.0%
How are these descriptive states defined?

Gaining / losing: 12-month weight change above +0.005pp / below −0.005pp. Direction and speed are separate dimensions, not mutually exclusive recommendations.

Accelerating / slowing: compare the most recent 3M change with the preceding 3M change. Accelerating means a positive change speeds up by >0.02pp. Slowing means the magnitude of movement declines by >0.02pp. A falling industry can also slow.

Reversing: the last two 3M changes have opposite signs, outside a ±0.005pp tolerance. Persistence counts consecutive same-direction monthly changes.

Broad / concentrated: company attribution, not a market-cap concentration shortcut. Concentrated means the three largest same-direction contributors account for ≥70% of gross same-direction changes; otherwise broad requires ≥60% of constituents moving with the industry. Other cases are mixed.

Weights use matched S&P 500 members’ market-cap estimates, based on SEC-reported shares available by each month-end and monthly closing prices. Companies without a matched price or share record are omitted, so the denominator is the matched sample rather than every index member. These are not official float-adjusted S&P weights. Flow is not measured.