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Observatory · observe first

Semiconductors

Semiconductors is losing market weight. Lost weight for 1 consecutive month.

Historical time machine
Historical observation
20182026
SlowingConcentrated

Most of this industry's losses came from a few companies.

Universe weight
1.69%
$0.51T
12-month change
-1.54 pp
6-month change
-1.70 pp
3-month change
-0.09 pp
Company participation
40%
above their 6M weight average

Where did the weight change come from?

12-month contribution in universe percentage points · contributions add to the industry change

Company attribution
Intel →-0.576 pp
All other companies-0.960 pp
Industry total-1.536 pp

The three largest same-direction contributors explain 79% of gross losses. Opposing contributions can make an individual company’s change larger than the industry’s net change.

How has it moved through history?

Share of matched S&P 500 members

Jan 2018 – Jan 2019 · market weight (%)

1.82.73.620182019

Relative performance

Industry return versus ACWI · no future data shown

10010711320182019

Is participation broad or concentrated?

Actual constituent counts at this date, not the legacy synthetic breadth proxy

Above their 3M universe-weight average60%
Above their 6M universe-weight average40%
Above their 12M universe-weight average10%
Top 5 share of current industry market cap88.3%

This is size concentration, not contribution to the 12-month change. The attribution above measures the latter.

Evidence can disagree

Independent dimensions · no combined score or bullish/bearish verdict

Allocation · 12M-1.54 pp
Relative strength · 12M+2.7%
Price index return · 12M-4.6%
Earnings revisions · unavailable0.0
Allocation lost weight while relative performance rose. Fewer than half of constituents are above their 6M weight average. These observations need not agree.
Other evidence and availability

Valuation data: unavailable; shown as zero placeholder.

Attention data: unavailable; shown as zero placeholder.

Actual fund flows: unavailable. No ETF, mutual-fund or institutional flow feed is connected.

Volume / turnover: unavailable in this dataset.

Follow the contribution to individual companies

Sorted by absolute 12-month weight contribution, not investment merit

CompanySub-industryCountryUniverse weight12M contribution12M price returnRevisions
Intel →
INTC
SemiconductorsUnited States0.709%-0.576 pp+0.3%0.0
Qualcomm →
QCOM
SemiconductorsUnited States0.198%-0.379 pp-24.6%0.0
Texas Instruments →
TXN
SemiconductorsUnited States0.319%-0.298 pp-5.6%0.0
Micron Technology →
MU
SemiconductorsUnited States0.141%-0.147 pp-12.6%0.0
Analog Devices →
ADI
SemiconductorsUnited States0.121%-0.073 pp+9.8%0.0
Skyworks Solutions →
SWKS
SemiconductorsUnited States0.043%-0.059 pp-23.7%0.0
Broadcom →
AVGO
SemiconductorsUnited States0.036%+0.036 pp+13.2%0.0
Microchip Technology →
MCHP
SemiconductorsUnited States0.031%-0.032 pp-14.1%0.0
Nvidia →
NVDA
SemiconductorsUnited States0.007%-0.014 pp-41.4%0.0
Advanced Micro Devices →
AMD
SemiconductorsUnited States0.080%+0.005 pp+77.7%0.0
Underlying monthly industry observations
MonthWeight1M change3M change6M change12M changeRelative return · 12M
Jan 20191.686%-0.075 pp-0.092 pp-1.702 pp-1.536 pp+2.7%
Dec 20181.761%+0.018 pp-0.103 pp-1.734 pp-1.460 pp+6.7%
Nov 20181.743%-0.034 pp-0.180 pp-1.911 pp-1.478 pp+5.2%
Oct 20181.778%-0.087 pp-1.610 pp-1.548 pp-1.444 pp+3.2%
Sep 20181.864%-0.059 pp-1.631 pp-1.594 pp-1.357 pp+5.9%
Aug 20181.923%-1.464 pp-1.731 pp-1.483 pp-1.298 pp+8.2%
Jul 20183.388%-0.107 pp+0.062 pp+0.166 pp+0.166 pp+5.8%
Jun 20183.495%-0.160 pp+0.036 pp+0.274 pp+0.274 pp+7.4%
May 20183.655%+0.329 pp+0.248 pp+0.433 pp+0.433 pp+13.7%
Apr 20183.326%-0.133 pp+0.104 pp+0.104 pp+0.104 pp+2.1%
Mar 20183.459%+0.052 pp+0.237 pp+0.237 pp+0.237 pp+6.7%
Feb 20183.406%+0.185 pp+0.185 pp+0.185 pp+0.185 pp+6.0%
Jan 20183.221%+0.000 pp+0.000 pp+0.000 pp+0.000 pp+0.0%
How are these descriptive states defined?

Gaining / losing: 12-month weight change above +0.005pp / below −0.005pp. Direction and speed are separate dimensions, not mutually exclusive recommendations.

Accelerating / slowing: compare the most recent 3M change with the preceding 3M change. Accelerating means a positive change speeds up by >0.02pp. Slowing means the magnitude of movement declines by >0.02pp. A falling industry can also slow.

Reversing: the last two 3M changes have opposite signs, outside a ±0.005pp tolerance. Persistence counts consecutive same-direction monthly changes.

Broad / concentrated: company attribution, not a market-cap concentration shortcut. Concentrated means the three largest same-direction contributors account for ≥70% of gross same-direction changes; otherwise broad requires ≥60% of constituents moving with the industry. Other cases are mixed.

Weights use matched S&P 500 members’ market-cap estimates, based on SEC-reported shares available by each month-end and monthly closing prices. Companies without a matched price or share record are omitted, so the denominator is the matched sample rather than every index member. These are not official float-adjusted S&P weights. Flow is not measured.