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Observatory · observe first

Semiconductors

Semiconductors is gaining market weight. Lost weight for 3 consecutive months.

Historical time machine
Historical observation
20182026
Reversing downwardBroad

The gain is shared across much of the industry.

Universe weight
1.83%
$0.92T
12-month change
+1.83 pp
6-month change
+1.83 pp
3-month change
-1.62 pp
Company participation
9%
above their 6M weight average

Where did the weight change come from?

12-month contribution in universe percentage points · contributions add to the industry change

Company attribution
Intel →+0.493 pp
All other companies+1.337 pp
Industry total+1.830 pp

The three largest same-direction contributors explain 61% of gross gains. Opposing contributions can make an individual company’s change larger than the industry’s net change.

How has it moved through history?

Share of matched S&P 500 members

Jan 2018 – Feb 2021 · market weight (%)

0.11.83.52018201920202021

Relative performance

Industry return versus ACWI · no future data shown

1021211402018201920202021

Is participation broad or concentrated?

Actual constituent counts at this date, not the legacy synthetic breadth proxy

Above their 3M universe-weight average0%
Above their 6M universe-weight average9%
Above their 12M universe-weight average91%
Top 5 share of current industry market cap83.4%

This is size concentration, not contribution to the 12-month change. The attribution above measures the latter.

Evidence can disagree

Independent dimensions · no combined score or bullish/bearish verdict

Allocation · 12M+1.83 pp
Relative strength · 12M+13.4%
Price index return · 12M+47.6%
Earnings revisions · unavailable0.0
Allocation gained weight while relative performance rose. Fewer than half of constituents are above their 6M weight average. These observations need not agree.
Other evidence and availability

Valuation data: unavailable; shown as zero placeholder.

Attention data: unavailable; shown as zero placeholder.

Actual fund flows: unavailable. No ETF, mutual-fund or institutional flow feed is connected.

Volume / turnover: unavailable in this dataset.

Follow the contribution to individual companies

Sorted by absolute 12-month weight contribution, not investment merit

CompanySub-industryCountryUniverse weight12M contribution12M price returnRevisions
Intel →
INTC
SemiconductorsUnited States0.494%+0.493 pp+12.3%0.0
Texas Instruments →
TXN
SemiconductorsUnited States0.317%+0.316 pp+55.2%0.0
Qualcomm →
QCOM
SemiconductorsUnited States0.309%+0.309 pp+78.4%0.0
Micron Technology →
MU
SemiconductorsUnited States0.205%+0.204 pp+74.1%0.0
Advanced Micro Devices →
AMD
SemiconductorsUnited States0.205%+0.204 pp+85.8%0.0
Analog Devices →
ADI
SemiconductorsUnited States0.115%+0.115 pp+45.7%0.0
Skyworks Solutions →
SWKS
SemiconductorsUnited States0.059%+0.059 pp+79.9%0.0
Microchip Technology →
MCHP
SemiconductorsUnited States0.041%+0.041 pp+70.5%0.0
Broadcom →
AVGO
SemiconductorsUnited States0.038%+0.038 pp+80.2%0.0
Monolithic Power Systems →
MPWR
SemiconductorsUnited States0.034%+0.034 pp+138.1%0.0
Nvidia →
NVDA
SemiconductorsUnited States0.017%+0.017 pp+103.3%0.0
Underlying monthly industry observations
MonthWeight1M change3M change6M change12M changeRelative return · 12M
Feb 20211.832%-0.256 pp-1.617 pp+1.829 pp+1.830 pp+13.4%
Jan 20212.089%-1.331 pp-1.237 pp+2.085 pp-1.276 pp+11.7%
Dec 20203.420%-0.030 pp+3.416 pp+3.416 pp+0.060 pp+9.7%
Nov 20203.450%+0.124 pp+3.446 pp+3.446 pp+0.216 pp+13.8%
Oct 20203.326%+3.322 pp+3.322 pp-0.298 pp+0.066 pp+11.6%
Sep 20200.004%-0.000 pp-0.000 pp+0.001 pp-3.183 pp+15.8%
Aug 20200.004%+0.000 pp-0.000 pp+0.001 pp-3.160 pp+14.4%
Jul 20200.003%-0.000 pp-3.620 pp-3.361 pp-3.167 pp+11.8%
Jun 20200.004%-0.000 pp+0.001 pp-3.356 pp-3.065 pp+25.0%
May 20200.004%-3.620 pp+0.001 pp-3.230 pp-2.971 pp+31.5%
Apr 20203.624%+3.621 pp+0.259 pp+0.364 pp+0.264 pp+19.4%
Mar 20200.003%+0.000 pp-3.357 pp-3.184 pp-3.209 pp+19.9%
Feb 20200.003%-3.362 pp-3.232 pp-3.161 pp-3.180 pp+14.6%
Jan 20203.365%+0.004 pp+0.105 pp+0.195 pp+1.679 pp+22.6%
Dec 20193.360%+0.126 pp+0.173 pp+0.291 pp+1.599 pp+15.8%
Nov 20193.234%-0.025 pp+0.070 pp+0.260 pp+1.491 pp+13.8%
Oct 20193.259%+0.073 pp+0.089 pp-0.100 pp+1.482 pp+14.1%
Sep 20193.187%+0.023 pp+0.118 pp-0.025 pp+1.323 pp+9.0%
Aug 20193.164%-0.006 pp+0.189 pp-0.018 pp+1.241 pp+5.5%
Jul 20193.170%+0.101 pp-0.189 pp+1.484 pp-0.218 pp+7.7%
Jun 20193.069%+0.094 pp-0.143 pp+1.308 pp-0.426 pp+0.9%
May 20192.975%-0.385 pp-0.208 pp+1.231 pp-0.680 pp-9.1%
Apr 20193.360%+0.148 pp+1.674 pp+1.582 pp+0.034 pp+12.4%
Mar 20193.211%+0.029 pp+1.451 pp+1.347 pp-0.247 pp+2.9%
Feb 20193.182%+1.496 pp+1.439 pp+1.259 pp-0.224 pp+3.1%
Jan 20191.686%-0.075 pp-0.092 pp-1.702 pp-1.536 pp+2.7%
Dec 20181.761%+0.018 pp-0.103 pp-1.734 pp-1.460 pp+6.7%
Nov 20181.743%-0.034 pp-0.180 pp-1.911 pp-1.478 pp+5.2%
Oct 20181.778%-0.087 pp-1.610 pp-1.548 pp-1.444 pp+3.2%
Sep 20181.864%-0.059 pp-1.631 pp-1.594 pp-1.357 pp+5.9%
Aug 20181.923%-1.464 pp-1.731 pp-1.483 pp-1.298 pp+8.2%
Jul 20183.388%-0.107 pp+0.062 pp+0.166 pp+0.166 pp+5.8%
Jun 20183.495%-0.160 pp+0.036 pp+0.274 pp+0.274 pp+7.4%
May 20183.655%+0.329 pp+0.248 pp+0.433 pp+0.433 pp+13.7%
Apr 20183.326%-0.133 pp+0.104 pp+0.104 pp+0.104 pp+2.1%
Mar 20183.459%+0.052 pp+0.237 pp+0.237 pp+0.237 pp+6.7%
Feb 20183.406%+0.185 pp+0.185 pp+0.185 pp+0.185 pp+6.0%
Jan 20183.221%+0.000 pp+0.000 pp+0.000 pp+0.000 pp+0.0%
How are these descriptive states defined?

Gaining / losing: 12-month weight change above +0.005pp / below −0.005pp. Direction and speed are separate dimensions, not mutually exclusive recommendations.

Accelerating / slowing: compare the most recent 3M change with the preceding 3M change. Accelerating means a positive change speeds up by >0.02pp. Slowing means the magnitude of movement declines by >0.02pp. A falling industry can also slow.

Reversing: the last two 3M changes have opposite signs, outside a ±0.005pp tolerance. Persistence counts consecutive same-direction monthly changes.

Broad / concentrated: company attribution, not a market-cap concentration shortcut. Concentrated means the three largest same-direction contributors account for ≥70% of gross same-direction changes; otherwise broad requires ≥60% of constituents moving with the industry. Other cases are mixed.

Weights use matched S&P 500 members’ market-cap estimates, based on SEC-reported shares available by each month-end and monthly closing prices. Companies without a matched price or share record are omitted, so the denominator is the matched sample rather than every index member. These are not official float-adjusted S&P weights. Flow is not measured.