Observatory · observe first

Where is market allocation moving?

See what is gaining weight, how quickly it is changing, and what is driving the move.

Historical time machine
Historical observation
20182026
S&P 500 matched members · 122 industries · Apr 2018Market-cap weights, not measured fund flows · pp = percentage points
Gaining weight
49
industries · over the last 12 months
Losing weight
38
industries · over the last 12 months
Accelerating
26
positive 3M gains are speeding up
Slowing
0
3M movement is easing, in either direction

Gaining market weight

Largest sector gains · last 12 months

Losing market weight

Largest sector declines · last 12 months

The pace is changing

Latest 3 months versus the previous 3 months

Slowing
None at this date
Reversing
None at this date

What is driving the change?

12-month company attribution · a rising industry does not mean every company is gaining

Follow the hierarchy →
Concentrated

Most of this industry's gains came from a few companies.

HP Inc.+0.195 pp
All other companies+0.099 pp
50% of companies above their 6M weight average
See what contributed →
Concentrated

Most of this industry's losses came from a few companies.

Wells Fargo-0.290 pp
All other companies-0.171 pp
14% of companies above their 6M weight average
See what contributed →
Concentrated

Most of this industry's gains came from a few companies.

Microsoft+0.243 pp
All other companies+0.010 pp
100% of companies above their 6M weight average
See what contributed →

Industry movements at a glance

Largest absolute allocation changes · descriptive observations, not rankings of investment merit

Watch the historical rotation →
IndustryMarket weight12M changeMovementParticipationWeight history · 24M
Diversified Banks
Lost weight for 2 consecutive months
7.98%-0.46 ppDeclining fasterConcentrated
Biotechnology
Lost weight for 2 consecutive months
3.08%-0.30 ppDeclining fasterBroad
Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals
Lost weight for 1 consecutive month
1.99%+0.29 ppAcceleratingConcentrated
Tobacco
Lost weight for 3 consecutive months
1.44%-0.28 ppDeclining fasterConcentrated
Aerospace & Defense
Gained weight for 1 consecutive month
6.82%-0.26 ppDeclining fasterConcentrated
Systems Software
Gained weight for 1 consecutive month
4.52%+0.25 ppAcceleratingConcentrated
Cable & Satellite
Lost weight for 3 consecutive months
0.82%-0.23 ppDeclining fasterConcentrated
Packaged Foods & Meats
Lost weight for 3 consecutive months
1.14%-0.19 ppDeclining fasterConcentrated
Application Software
Gained weight for 1 consecutive month
2.97%+0.18 ppAcceleratingConcentrated
Communications Equipment
Gained weight for 1 consecutive month
1.48%+0.17 ppAcceleratingConcentrated
How are these descriptive states defined?

Gaining / losing: 12-month weight change above +0.005pp / below −0.005pp. Direction and speed are separate dimensions, not mutually exclusive recommendations.

Accelerating / slowing: compare the most recent 3M change with the preceding 3M change. Accelerating means a positive change speeds up by >0.02pp. Slowing means the magnitude of movement declines by >0.02pp. A falling industry can also slow.

Reversing: the last two 3M changes have opposite signs, outside a ±0.005pp tolerance. Persistence counts consecutive same-direction monthly changes.

Broad / concentrated: company attribution, not a market-cap concentration shortcut. Concentrated means the three largest same-direction contributors account for ≥70% of gross same-direction changes; otherwise broad requires ≥60% of constituents moving with the industry. Other cases are mixed.

Weights use matched S&P 500 members with SEC-reported shares and monthly prices. Companies without both data series are omitted; weights are normalised across matched members each month. These are simple market-cap estimates, not official float-adjusted S&P weights or measured investor flows.